Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2015 |
MEL
0 - 0
SPC
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2015 |
SPC
3 - 2
CIE
68%
20%
13%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
AYA
1 - 2
SPC
32%
26%
42%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2015 |
SPC
3 - 2
UTC
70%
18%
11%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2015 |
ALI
1 - 1
SPC
25%
26%
48%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
ALI
2 - 3
EQU
43%
27%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2015 |
ALI
1 - 0
UNI
55%
26%
19%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2015 |
SPO
1 - 0
ALI
38%
29%
33%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
ALI
0 - 1
GAR
37%
28%
35%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2015 |
HUA
1 - 1
ALI
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |