Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
16.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2013 |
LIB
2 - 2
SPC
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
AUR
3 - 0
SPC
41%
27%
33%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
SPC
2 - 0
TIG
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
SPC
5 - 0
CIE
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2013 |
HUA
2 - 1
SPC
37%
27%
36%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
ALI
1 - 0
GAR
37%
30%
34%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
MEL
0 - 2
ALI
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
ALI
0 - 0
PAC
46%
28%
26%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
UTC
1 - 2
ALI
35%
29%
36%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
MEL
2 - 0
ALI
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -2 |