Sporting CP II vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
51.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
6º
5º
30
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 32 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 31 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 13 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
AMO
3 - 2
SCP
40%
25%
35%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
PER
3 - 3
SCP
37%
26%
38%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SCP
2 - 1
ALV
34%
26%
40%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SCP
1 - 3
CAL
55%
23%
22%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
1DE
0 - 1
SCP
34%
27%
39%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SPC
2 - 0
PER
75%
17%
8%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
SPC
4 - 3
CAL
71%
19%
11%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
SPC
1 - 4
POR
19%
23%
58%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
ACA
0 - 2
SPC
37%
27%
36%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SPC
3 - 2
OLI
71%
19%
10%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | +1 |