Belgian Pro League Normal Season Round 3

Charleroi vs Standard de Liège analysis

Charleroi Standard de Liège
75 ELO 75
-9.4% Tilt 13.1%
179º General ELO ranking 189º
13º Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
36.6%
Charleroi
27%
Draw
36.4%
Standard de Liège

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
Charleroi
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
36.4%
Win probability
Standard de Liège
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Charleroi
+8%
-6%
Standard de Liège

Points and table prediction

Charleroi
Their league position
Standard de Liège
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
14º
13º
34
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Union Saint-Gilloise
70
70
100%
Anderlecht
63
63
100%
Antwerp
52
52
100%
Club Brugge
51
51
100%
Genk
47
47
100%
KAA Gent
47
47
0%
Cercle Brugge
47
47
0%
KV Mechelen
45
45
100%
Sint-Truidense VV
40
40
100%
Standard de Liège
10º
34
34
10º
100%
KVC Westerlo
11º
30
30
11º
100%
OH Leuven
12º
29
29
12º
0%
Charleroi
13º
29
29
13º
0%
KAS Eupen
14º
24
24
14º
100%
KV Kortrijk
15º
24
24
15º
100%
Daring Brussels
16º
23
23
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Charleroi
Standard de Liège
Play-offs for the title
0% 0%
Next round
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%

ELO progression

Charleroi
Standard de Liège
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Charleroi
Charleroi
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Aug. 2023
CER
Cercle Brugge
2 - 0
Charleroi
CHA
42%
26%
32%
75 77 2 0
29 Jul. 2023
CHA
Charleroi
1 - 1
OH Leuven
LEU
39%
26%
35%
75 74 1 0
22 Jul. 2023
CHA
Charleroi
1 - 1
Rayo Vallecano
RAY
34%
28%
39%
75 82 7 0
19 Jul. 2023
REI
Stade de Reims
3 - 1
Charleroi
CHA
46%
25%
29%
75 79 4 0
12 Jul. 2023
CHA
Charleroi
2 - 1
Lokomotiva
LOK
40%
26%
34%
75 75 0 0

Matches

Standard de Liège
Standard de Liège
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Aug. 2023
SDL
Standard de Liège
0 - 1
Union Saint-Gilloise
UNI
15%
21%
64%
75 88 13 0
30 Jul. 2023
STR
Sint-Truidense VV
1 - 0
Standard de Liège
SDL
36%
27%
37%
75 75 0 0
25 Jul. 2023
MET
Metz
2 - 2
Standard de Liège
SDL
42%
25%
33%
75 75 0 0
21 Jul. 2023
SDL
Standard de Liège
1 - 1
Hertha BSC
HER
33%
24%
43%
75 78 3 0
03 Jun. 2023
GEN
KAA Gent
3 - 1
Standard de Liège
SDL
59%
23%
19%
76 84 8 -1