Belgian Pro League Normal Season Round 28

Charleroi vs Genk analysis

Charleroi Genk
85 ELO 87
-13.6% Tilt 8.4%
181º General ELO ranking 137º
11º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
28.8%
Charleroi
24.9%
Draw
46.3%
Genk

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.8%
Win probability
Charleroi
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
46.3%
Win probability
Genk
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Charleroi
+2%
+1%
Genk

Points and table prediction

Charleroi
Their league position
Genk
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
14º
68
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Genk
68
68
100%
Club Brugge
59
59
100%
Union Saint-Gilloise
55
55
100%
Anderlecht
51
51
100%
Antwerp
46
46
100%
KAA Gent
45
45
100%
Standard de Liège
39
39
100%
KV Mechelen
38
38
100%
Charleroi
37
37
0%
KVC Westerlo
10º
35
37
10º
0%
OH Leuven
11º
35
37
11º
0%
Cercle Brugge
13º
32
32
12º
0%
FCV Dender
12º
32
32
13º
0%
Sint-Truidense VV
14º
32
31
14º
100%
KV Kortrijk
15º
26
26
15º
100%
Beerschot VA
16º
19
18
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Charleroi
Genk
Play-offs for the title
0% 100%
Next round
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%

ELO progression

Charleroi
Genk
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Charleroi
Charleroi
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Feb. 2025
KVC
KVC Westerlo
1 - 3
Charleroi
CHA
51%
23%
26%
85 86 1 0
16 Feb. 2025
CHA
Charleroi
0 - 1
Anderlecht
AND
33%
27%
40%
85 87 2 0
09 Feb. 2025
BEE
Beerschot VA
1 - 1
Charleroi
CHA
23%
26%
52%
85 77 8 0
01 Feb. 2025
CHA
Charleroi
5 - 0
FCV Dender
DEN
46%
26%
29%
84 81 3 +1
25 Jan. 2025
CHA
Charleroi
1 - 1
Cercle Brugge
CER
30%
26%
44%
84 87 3 0

Matches

Genk
Genk
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Feb. 2025
GNK
Genk
0 - 0
KAA Gent
GEN
43%
25%
33%
87 87 0 0
14 Feb. 2025
SDL
Standard de Liège
1 - 2
Genk
GNK
26%
25%
50%
87 84 3 0
08 Feb. 2025
GNK
Genk
2 - 1
Cercle Brugge
CER
46%
25%
30%
87 87 0 0
05 Feb. 2025
GNK
Genk
1 - 1
Club Brugge
BRU
47%
24%
29%
87 87 0 0
01 Feb. 2025
GNK
Genk
1 - 0
Beerschot VA
BEE
64%
20%
16%
87 77 10 0