Sporting Canamy vs Lobos ULMX analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
32%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
4º
13º
5º
18
5º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 54 |
1º
|
72.5% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 44 |
2º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 44 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
2º
|
20 | 43 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
18 | 43 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 42 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
4º
|
19 | 41 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
|
6º
|
18 | 37 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 35 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
3º
|
20 | 32 |
10º
|
26% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 28 |
11º
|
24.5% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 24 |
12º
|
35% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 22 |
13º
|
45.5% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 11 |
14º
|
90.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
5% | 1% |
|
Next round
|
35.5% | 18% |
|
Possible next round
|
14% | 7.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
45.5% | 73.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Canamy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2025 |
RAF
2 - 0
CAN
61%
20%
19%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2025 |
CAN
1 - 2
CDC
44%
24%
33%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
ZAC
1 - 1
CAN
60%
21%
19%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
CDC
3 - 0
CAN
47%
23%
30%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
CAN
0 - 4
PDC
19%
22%
59%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Lobos ULMX
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2025 |
LUL
2 - 0
CIE
48%
23%
29%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2025 |
COR
1 - 0
LUL
65%
21%
15%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2025 |
LUL
1 - 2
COR
32%
24%
44%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
COR
0 - 0
LUL
60%
22%
18%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2025 |
HDZ
0 - 0
LUL
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |