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Primeira Liga. Matchday 10

Sporting Braga vs Portimonense analysis

Sporting Braga Portimonense
83 ELO 64
-20% Tilt 17%
44º General ELO ranking 457º
Country ELO ranking 21º
ELO win probability
59.6%
Sporting Braga
22.3%
Draw
18%
Portimonense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
Sporting Braga
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18%
Win probability
Portimonense
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sporting Braga
-19%
-24%
Portimonense

Basic stats

47
53
POS
18
5
SOT
3
5
COR
3
0
GF
0
3
GC
83
64
ELO
1.9
0.9
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Sporting Braga
Their league position
Portimonense
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
25
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Porto
50
88
94%
Sporting CP
47
77
38%
Benfica
41
76
54%
Sporting Braga
32
59
31%
Gil Vicente
27
48
9%
Estoril
25
51
9%
Portimonense
25
41
9%
Vitória Guimarães
24
47
8%
Marítimo
23
41
8%
Boavista
10º
18
38
12º
7%
Paços de Ferreira
11º
18
36
14º
7%
Tondela
12º
17
39
11º
7%
CD Santa Clara
13º
17
31
17º
8%
Vizela
14º
16
32
16º
7%
Moreirense
15º
16
40
10º
7%
Famalicão
16º
16
37
13º
8%
Arouca
17º
14
32
15º
8%
Belenenses SAD
18º
11
24
18º
19%
Expected probabilities
Sporting Braga
Portimonense
Champion
0% 0%
Champions League
15% 0%
UCL qualifying
9% 0%
Europa Conference League
39% 18%
Mid-table
34% 69%
Relegation playoffs
1% 5%
Relegation
1% 8%

ELO progression

Sporting Braga
SPB
Portimonense
POR
Ludogorets
LUD
Belenenses SAD
BEL
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
LPL
Benfica
SLB
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sporting Braga
Sporting Braga
1%
X%
2%
ELO SPB ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Oct. 2021
SPB
Sporting Braga
0 - 0
Paços de Ferreira
PAÇ
72%
18%
10%
2663 1806 857 -6
25 Oct. 2021
GFC
Gil Vicente
0 - 1
Sporting Braga
SPB
24%
25%
51%
2659 1412 -1247 +3
21 Oct. 2021
LUD
Ludogorets
0 - 1
Sporting Braga
SPB
31%
25%
44%
2653 1794 -859 +9
17 Oct. 2021
MOI
Moitense
0 - 5
Sporting Braga
SPB
17%
21%
62%
2644 852 -1792 +4
03 Oct. 2021
SPB
Sporting Braga
2 - 2
Boavista
BOA
72%
17%
11%
2650 1681 969 -7

Matches

Portimonense
Portimonense
1%
X%
2%
ELO POR ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Oct. 2021
POR
Portimonense
0 - 2
Estoril
EST
49%
26%
25%
1586 1564 22 -17
17 Oct. 2021
OLI
UD Oliveirense
3 - 3
Portimonense
POR
34%
27%
39%
1590 878 -712 -4
03 Oct. 2021
SLB
Benfica
0 - 1
Portimonense
POR
83%
11%
5%
1569 3233 1664 +20
26 Sep. 2021
POR
Portimonense
0 - 0
Vizela
VIZ
54%
25%
21%
1572 1330 242 -3
17 Sep. 2021
POR
Portimonense
2 - 1
CD Santa Clara
SAN
46%
27%
26%
1562 1593 -31 +10