Sporting Braga vs Paços de Ferreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
17.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
VST
1 - 0
SPB
45%
27%
28%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2006 |
SPB
1 - 0
NAC
54%
25%
21%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
SLB
1 - 0
SPB
63%
23%
14%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
SPB
2 - 0
MAR
58%
25%
17%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
BEL
2 - 0
SPB
42%
28%
30%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
PAÇ
2 - 1
RIO
44%
28%
29%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
NAV
1 - 0
PAÇ
46%
26%
29%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
PAÇ
2 - 1
EST
54%
26%
21%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
FCP
3 - 0
PAÇ
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
PAÇ
1 - 1
VIT
44%
28%
28%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |