Sporting Braga vs Moreirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
14%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
VAR
2 - 0
SPB
30%
27%
43%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2002 |
SPB
1 - 0
PAÇ
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
SAN
0 - 0
SPB
32%
27%
41%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
SPB
5 - 3
ALV
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2002 |
BEL
1 - 1
SPB
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Moreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
MOR
2 - 3
SLB
19%
23%
57%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
VAR
1 - 0
MOR
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
MOR
1 - 2
BMA
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
EST
1 - 3
MOR
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
MOR
5 - 1
NAC
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |