Sporting Braga vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
32.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
66
3º
9º
4º
80
1º
15º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
80 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
71 | 71 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
27 | 27 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
27 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
CAS
2 - 1
SPB
26%
25%
49%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
SPB
1 - 1
SAN
61%
22%
17%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
FAM
1 - 1
SPB
30%
26%
44%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
EST
0 - 2
SPB
28%
24%
48%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
SPB
4 - 1
AVE
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
SLB
1 - 1
SCP
48%
23%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
EST
1 - 2
SLB
29%
25%
47%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
SLB
6 - 0
AVE
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2025 |
SLB
4 - 0
TIR
91%
7%
2%
|
88 | 48 | 40 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
VIT
0 - 3
SLB
42%
25%
33%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |