Sporting Braga vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
37.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SPB
4 - 1
FAM
69%
19%
12%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
SCP
5 - 0
SPB
47%
24%
29%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
PAÇ
1 - 2
SPB
7%
17%
76%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
SPB
1 - 0
BOA
72%
18%
10%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2023 |
SPB
3 - 2
VIT
69%
19%
12%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
SLB
3 - 0
CAS
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
ARO
0 - 3
SLB
14%
21%
65%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
PAÇ
0 - 2
SLB
10%
19%
71%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 3
SLB
14%
21%
66%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
SLB
2 - 2
SCP
48%
23%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |