Sporting Braga vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
42.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2021 |
POR
0 - 0
SPB
13%
20%
68%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2021 |
SPB
2 - 1
MOR
76%
16%
8%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
GFC
1 - 1
SPB
12%
20%
68%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
SPB
1 - 1
PAÇ
75%
17%
8%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 0
SPB
12%
20%
69%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2021 |
VIT
1 - 3
SLB
15%
20%
65%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
SLB
4 - 3
SCP
50%
23%
27%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 3
SLB
7%
16%
77%
|
87 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
SLB
1 - 1
FCP
41%
24%
35%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
TON
0 - 2
SLB
8%
16%
76%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |