Sporting Braga vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
9.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
SPB
1 - 0
FCP
38%
24%
38%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2013 |
FCP
3 - 1
SPB
48%
24%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
SPB
2 - 3
SCP
59%
22%
19%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2013 |
GFC
1 - 3
SPB
19%
24%
57%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
SPB
2 - 0
MAR
69%
19%
12%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
GFC
2 - 1
ACA
48%
26%
27%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
ACA
0 - 3
FCP
17%
23%
60%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
EST
2 - 0
ACA
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
ACA
1 - 1
SCP
26%
26%
48%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2013 |
VIT
2 - 0
ACA
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |