Braga U23 vs Rio Ave U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
13.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-17%
Points and table prediction
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
26 | 26 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
25 | 25 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 22 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 21 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 17 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 17 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 12 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 12 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 11 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0% | 0% |
|
|
0% | 0% |
|
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Braga U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
FAM
0 - 0
BRA
44%
26%
30%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2022 |
BRA
2 - 1
LEX
50%
24%
26%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
VIZ
2 - 1
BRA
40%
26%
34%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
BRA
2 - 1
GIL
38%
25%
37%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 0
BRA
39%
27%
34%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Rio Ave U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
RIO
2 - 4
VIZ
30%
24%
45%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
FAM
2 - 1
RIO
56%
23%
21%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
LEX
0 - 1
RIO
57%
23%
20%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
GIL
1 - 1
RIO
71%
18%
11%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
RIO
2 - 1
MAR
27%
23%
50%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +2 |