Sporting Braga II vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.8%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
44.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
4º
10º
4º
33
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
BRA
2 - 1
CEL
14%
20%
65%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 2
CHA
10%
18%
72%
|
44 | 71 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
OLI
1 - 1
BRA
70%
18%
13%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 2
VST
31%
24%
45%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
UDL
2 - 0
BRA
48%
25%
27%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
VAR
1 - 1
TIR
78%
17%
6%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
BOA
0 - 3
VAR
68%
21%
11%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
ACA
0 - 2
VAR
39%
27%
35%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
VAR
2 - 0
MAF
30%
28%
42%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
FAR
0 - 1
VAR
61%
24%
15%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |