Sporting Bertrange vs Union Mertert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
63.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Bertrange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
SPO
2 - 7
UKT
22%
20%
58%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
YBW
1 - 0
SPO
82%
12%
6%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2018 |
SPO
1 - 4
MON
13%
18%
70%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | -2 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
BER
1 - 0
SPO
53%
21%
26%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
SPO
0 - 1
SAN
43%
23%
34%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Union Mertert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
UME
2 - 2
WIL
36%
25%
39%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
FCR
5 - 1
UME
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
UME
1 - 3
ATE
48%
25%
28%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -2 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
UME
2 - 2
JEU
60%
22%
19%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
BBM
1 - 1
UME
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |