Sportfreunde Lotte vs Mainz 05 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
12.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportfreunde Lotte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2012 |
SPO
1 - 0
FOR
64%
21%
14%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
SPO
2 - 0
S04
66%
21%
13%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
SPO
2 - 3
EIN
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
BAY
0 - 0
SPO
23%
25%
51%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
SPO
3 - 2
KAI
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Mainz 05 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
MAI
1 - 2
BAY
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
MAI
1 - 2
WUP
31%
25%
43%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
BOC
2 - 2
MAI
49%
24%
27%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
MAI
1 - 2
ROT
46%
25%
29%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2011 |
MAI
1 - 2
BOR
31%
26%
44%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |