Sport Recife vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
53.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.3%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
ATM
3 - 0
SPO
81%
14%
6%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
SPO
0 - 1
SCI
18%
27%
55%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
ATP
0 - 0
SPO
73%
19%
9%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
SPO
0 - 0
CHA
40%
29%
31%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
SPO
0 - 1
SAO
15%
24%
62%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
SCI
1 - 0
FOR
54%
24%
23%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
FOR
3 - 1
SAO
31%
26%
42%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 2
ATM
27%
26%
47%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
BAH
4 - 2
FOR
36%
27%
37%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 0
CUI
71%
20%
9%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |