Sport Recife vs América RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
26.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1973 |
GUA
4 - 1
SPO
53%
23%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1973 |
SET
0 - 1
SPO
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1973 |
SPO
0 - 0
BAH
40%
28%
32%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1973 |
FLU
1 - 0
SPO
64%
19%
17%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1973 |
CRB
0 - 3
SPO
40%
27%
34%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
América RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1973 |
CRZ
2 - 1
AME
65%
21%
15%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1973 |
GUA
3 - 1
AME
52%
26%
23%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1973 |
BOT
0 - 1
AME
76%
15%
9%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1973 |
BAH
2 - 1
AME
56%
24%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1973 |
CEB
1 - 0
AME
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |