Itupiranga vs Independiente PA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
67%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itupiranga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
CEC
1 - 2
SCI
10%
15%
75%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
SCI
2 - 2
AGU
15%
19%
66%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
SCI
1 - 0
TAP
17%
19%
64%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | +2 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
IND
2 - 0
SCI
74%
16%
10%
|
16 | 43 | 27 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2020 |
PAY
3 - 1
SCI
84%
12%
4%
|
16 | 63 | 47 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente PA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
IND
2 - 0
BPA
34%
24%
42%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
PAR
1 - 0
IND
35%
24%
41%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
IND
1 - 2
REM
15%
20%
65%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
IND
2 - 0
SCI
74%
16%
10%
|
43 | 16 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
IND
2 - 3
CAS
46%
24%
30%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |