Benfica Castelo Branco vs Santa Iria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
8.1%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
SER
0 - 1
BEN
27%
28%
45%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
BEN
2 - 0
FAT
65%
21%
15%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
ALC
3 - 0
BEN
10%
22%
68%
|
46 | 20 | 26 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
BEN
1 - 1
ANA
40%
26%
34%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
OLI
0 - 2
BEN
34%
28%
38%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Iria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
IRI
3 - 1
MAC
85%
10%
5%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
OLE
1 - 0
IRI
65%
19%
16%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
IRI
3 - 0
PEN
54%
21%
25%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
CAL
3 - 1
IRI
68%
18%
14%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
IRI
1 - 0
ADN
32%
23%
45%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +2 |