Benfica Castelo Branco vs Oliveira Hospital analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
17.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
MOR
1 - 1
BEN
23%
25%
52%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 2
BEN
23%
25%
52%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2021 |
BEN
4 - 3
SER
58%
22%
20%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
CON
0 - 0
BEN
28%
23%
49%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
BEN
1 - 0
MAR
58%
22%
21%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Oliveira Hospital
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
OLI
2 - 0
CAR
62%
21%
17%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2021 |
SER
1 - 1
OLI
40%
27%
34%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
OLI
1 - 0
VIT
54%
22%
24%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
CON
0 - 1
OLI
46%
23%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
OLI
2 - 1
MOR
50%
23%
27%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |