Benfica Castelo Branco vs Oleiros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
24.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 1
BEN
43%
27%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
BEN
1 - 3
PRA
41%
25%
35%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
BEN
2 - 2
IDA
69%
18%
13%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
BEN
0 - 3
SER
44%
25%
31%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 1
BEN
36%
27%
37%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Oleiros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
CON
1 - 0
OLE
43%
25%
32%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
OLE
0 - 0
PEN
42%
25%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
OLE
1 - 1
VIT
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
OLE
1 - 1
IDA
65%
20%
16%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
SER
2 - 0
OLE
42%
27%
31%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -2 |