Split vs Neretva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.4%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
11.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
MAK
0 - 0
SPL
33%
25%
42%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
SPL
1 - 0
JAD
51%
25%
25%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
KAM
0 - 1
SPL
29%
24%
47%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
SPL
2 - 2
OTO
64%
19%
17%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
HRV
2 - 1
SPL
31%
24%
45%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Neretva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
NER
3 - 0
OTO
34%
23%
43%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
HRV
2 - 3
NER
71%
17%
12%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
NER
2 - 3
NER
22%
21%
57%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
UBV
3 - 1
NER
63%
21%
17%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
NER
1 - 2
GOS
32%
24%
44%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |