Kornspitz Pregarten vs Zebau Bad Ischl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
28.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+35%
Points and table prediction
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 60 |
1º
|
27% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 58 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 58 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 47 |
5º
|
8% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 49 |
4º
|
8% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 42 |
7º
|
7% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 41 |
8º
|
7% | |
|
|
8º
|
19 | 36 |
11º
|
7% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 43 |
6º
|
7% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 41 |
9º
|
7% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 38 |
10º
|
7% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 31 |
15º
|
9% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 34 |
12º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 32 |
13º
|
10% | |
|
|
15º
|
12 | 32 |
14º
|
9% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 27 |
16º
|
14% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
| Champion | 3% | 1% |
| Mid-table | 64% | 51% |
| Relegation playoffs | 27% | 37% |
| Relegation | 6% | 11% |
ELO progression
SPG
SVZ
ASV
UMA
WEA
STM
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kornspitz Pregarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO SPG | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
SVW
2 - 1
SPG
47%
27%
26%
|
185 | 263 | 78 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
OED
3 - 1
SPG
45%
27%
28%
|
184 | 189 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
SPG
0 - 1
SVF
46%
27%
27%
|
185 | 187 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
SPG
1 - 1
UNI
47%
27%
26%
|
185 | 156 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
WEA
1 - 0
SPG
47%
27%
26%
|
186 | 231 | 45 | -1 |
Matches
Zebau Bad Ischl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO SVZ | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
SVZ
3 - 1
SVP
46%
27%
27%
|
157 | 176 | -19 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
SVZ
1 - 0
UNP
47%
27%
26%
|
156 | 113 | 43 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
SVZ
2 - 3
DON
46%
27%
26%
|
157 | 86 | 71 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
BAD
1 - 0
SVZ
45%
27%
28%
|
158 | 185 | 27 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
SVZ
2 - 3
GRU
45%
27%
28%
|
159 | 139 | 20 | -1 |