Spezia U19 vs Cesena U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
51.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
7º
16º
10º
70
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
70 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
44.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
37% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
79.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
70% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 29 |
14º
|
70% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
TER
0 - 0
SPE
36%
23%
41%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
SPE
2 - 3
CRO
72%
16%
12%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
SAL
1 - 1
SPE
20%
21%
59%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2023 |
SPE
4 - 0
ASC
45%
23%
33%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +2 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
PIS
2 - 0
SPE
39%
24%
37%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Cesena U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
MNP
1 - 6
CES
14%
16%
70%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
CES
3 - 1
PAL
69%
17%
14%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
BEN
3 - 2
CES
36%
22%
42%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2023 |
CES
7 - 1
PES
76%
14%
10%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
CRO
0 - 2
CES
15%
18%
67%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | +1 |