Spennymoor Town vs Newton Aycliffe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
11.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spennymoor Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
NEW
3 - 3
SPE
22%
22%
56%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
SPE
2 - 1
SUN
74%
16%
10%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
PRE
0 - 0
SPE
60%
21%
19%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +11 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
LEE
0 - 0
SPE
63%
21%
17%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
SPE
0 - 0
BRI
60%
21%
19%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Newton Aycliffe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
NEW
3 - 3
SPE
22%
22%
56%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
DAR
4 - 2
NEW
19%
21%
59%
|
23 | 10 | 13 | -2 |