FA Cup. Qualifying round

Spennymoor Town vs Newton Aycliffe analysis

Spennymoor Town Newton Aycliffe
70 ELO 70
44% Tilt 100%
4440º General ELO ranking 6275º
196º Country ELO ranking 324º
ELO win probability
42.1%
Spennymoor Town
20.8%
Draw
37.1%
Newton Aycliffe

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
Spennymoor Town
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.8%
37.1%
Win probability
Newton Aycliffe
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%