Spennymoor Town vs Alfreton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
13.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+80%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spennymoor Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2020 |
SPE
3 - 2
ALT
38%
25%
37%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
SPE
0 - 0
BRA
37%
25%
37%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
GLO
1 - 2
SPE
15%
20%
65%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
SPE
2 - 0
LEA
53%
23%
24%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
KID
1 - 1
SPE
27%
23%
50%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2020 |
ALF
1 - 0
LEA
45%
24%
32%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
FAR
1 - 1
ALF
61%
21%
18%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -2 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
ALF
2 - 0
HER
59%
20%
21%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 2020 |
ALF
6 - 1
GLO
59%
20%
21%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
DAR
3 - 0
ALF
65%
21%
15%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |