Spartans vs Berwick Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
12.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
SPA
0 - 1
GAL
51%
23%
26%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
EAS
3 - 1
SPA
50%
23%
27%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
CIV
1 - 2
SPA
36%
24%
40%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
SPA
1 - 0
CUM
80%
13%
7%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
SPA
1 - 2
CBF
73%
17%
10%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Berwick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2021 |
BER
2 - 1
GRE
66%
19%
15%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
BRA
3 - 0
BER
91%
7%
2%
|
32 | 54 | 22 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
BER
0 - 1
BON
22%
22%
57%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
BER
5 - 1
CUM
69%
17%
14%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
BER
2 - 3
EAS
22%
24%
54%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -1 |