Spartak Varna vs Marek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
10.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2022 |
LUD
4 - 0
SVA
76%
15%
9%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
SVA
5 - 0
CHE
77%
15%
9%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
SVA
2 - 1
SEP
34%
27%
40%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
STR
1 - 2
SVA
28%
26%
47%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
SVA
2 - 1
MON
44%
27%
29%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Marek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 1
ETA
12%
20%
68%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 1
YAN
42%
26%
31%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
SEP
1 - 1
MAR
82%
13%
5%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2021 |
MAR
2 - 2
SEP
46%
27%
28%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
STR
2 - 0
MAR
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |