Spartak Varna vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
58.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
17%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.3%
0-2
13%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
13º
16º
16º
70
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
70 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
LSO
3 - 2
SVA
56%
24%
19%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
SVA
1 - 3
ARK
25%
28%
48%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
BVR
1 - 0
SVA
50%
25%
24%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
SVA
0 - 1
HEB
41%
26%
33%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
LUD
5 - 0
SVA
77%
15%
7%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
CSK
2 - 1
CSK
44%
27%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
BAS
2 - 0
CSK
61%
21%
18%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
CSK
1 - 0
BAS
29%
25%
46%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
CSK
1 - 0
SEP
62%
22%
15%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
STP
0 - 2
CSK
36%
27%
38%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |