Qualif. Champions Tercera Ronda. Final
Global 0-4
Spartak Moskva vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
52.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2021 |
KRS
0 - 1
SPA
37%
25%
38%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
FCR
1 - 0
SPA
31%
26%
43%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
KHI
1 - 5
SPA
29%
25%
46%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2021 |
FCR
0 - 4
SPA
31%
26%
43%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
SPA
4 - 0
SOC
53%
23%
24%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
SLB
1 - 1
MAR
65%
19%
16%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2021 |
SLB
1 - 0
LIL
51%
24%
26%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
SLB
2 - 1
ALM
73%
17%
11%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
SLB
2 - 1
CAS
84%
12%
5%
|
87 | 53 | 34 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
SLB
0 - 0
BEL
82%
13%
6%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |