Jong Sparta vs Spakenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
51.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+64%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
6º
13º
10º
43
7º
17º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 69 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
60 | 60 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
55 | 55 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
43 | 43 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
39 | 39 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
39 | 39 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
26 | 26 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
20 | 20 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong Sparta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
LIS
2 - 0
SPA
61%
20%
19%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
KOZ
4 - 1
SPA
49%
23%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -2 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
SPA
3 - 3
EXC
52%
23%
25%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
SPA
1 - 0
KON
52%
23%
26%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
KAT
3 - 1
SPA
65%
20%
15%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Spakenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2023 |
GRO
2 - 3
SPA
76%
17%
8%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
SPA
1 - 0
KON
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
SPA
2 - 1
KAT
30%
24%
46%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
HHC
2 - 0
SPA
54%
22%
24%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
SPA
1 - 1
RIJ
26%
22%
52%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |