Sparta Rotterdam vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
24.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
SPA
3 - 1
FOR
47%
24%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
GAE
2 - 0
SPA
39%
28%
34%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
SPA
1 - 1
HER
43%
25%
32%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
UTR
4 - 0
SPA
65%
21%
14%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
EXC
0 - 3
SPA
29%
23%
48%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
NEC
0 - 0
WIL
29%
24%
46%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
HER
0 - 1
NEC
54%
23%
23%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
NEC
2 - 0
ZWO
37%
26%
37%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
AJA
5 - 0
NEC
81%
13%
7%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2021 |
NEC
2 - 0
OFI
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |