Inter-Cities Fairs Cup . 1/16
Global 4-1
Sparta Rotterdam vs Coleraine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.7%
9.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1970 |
AJA
2 - 2
SPA
81%
13%
6%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1970 |
SPA
1 - 0
SHS
74%
17%
9%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1970 |
IAA
0 - 9
SPA
45%
23%
32%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1970 |
NAC
0 - 0
SPA
34%
28%
38%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1970 |
SPA
6 - 0
IAA
59%
20%
22%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Coleraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1970 |
KIL
2 - 3
COL
82%
11%
7%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1970 |
COL
1 - 1
KIL
23%
21%
56%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1969 |
COL
3 - 7
AND
28%
24%
49%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1969 |
AND
6 - 1
COL
82%
11%
6%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1969 |
COL
4 - 0
JEU
53%
20%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |