Eredivisie . Jor. 3

Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax analysis

Sparta Rotterdam Ajax
68 ELO 88
0.1% Tilt -3.8%
411º General ELO ranking 84º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
11.6%
Sparta Rotterdam
18.2%
Draw
70.2%
Ajax

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.6%
Win probability
Sparta Rotterdam
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
70.2%
Win probability
Ajax
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sparta Rotterdam
-10%
-2%
Ajax

Points and table prediction

Sparta Rotterdam
Their league position
Ajax
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
14º
69
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Feyenoord
82
82
100%
PSV
75
75
100%
Ajax
69
69
100%
AZ Alkmaar
67
67
100%
Twente
64
64
100%
Sparta Rotterdam
59
59
100%
Utrecht
54
54
100%
Heerenveen
46
46
100%
RKC Waalwijk
41
41
100%
Vitesse
10º
40
40
10º
100%
Go Ahead Eagles
11º
40
40
11º
100%
NEC Nijmegen
12º
39
39
12º
100%
Fortuna Sittard
13º
36
36
13º
0%
FC Volendam
14º
36
36
14º
0%
Excelsior
15º
32
32
15º
100%
Emmen
16º
28
28
16º
100%
Cambuur
17º
19
19
17º
100%
Groningen
18º
18
18
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Sparta Rotterdam
Ajax
Champion
0% 0%
Champions League qualifying phase
0% 0%
Europa League qualifying phase
0% 100%
Conference League knock out round
0% 0%
Next round
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Sparta Rotterdam
Ajax
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sparta Rotterdam
Sparta Rotterdam
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Aug. 2022
SPA
Sparta Rotterdam
2 - 3
AZ Alkmaar
AZA
14%
21%
65%
69 85 16 0
05 Aug. 2022
SCH
Heerenveen
0 - 0
Sparta Rotterdam
SPA
47%
27%
27%
69 71 2 0
30 Jul. 2022
SPA
Sparta Rotterdam
3 - 1
Emmen
FCE
35%
25%
41%
69 74 5 0
26 Jul. 2022
VOC
VOC
1 - 5
Sparta Rotterdam
SPA
6%
16%
78%
69 32 37 0
23 Jul. 2022
SPA
Sparta Rotterdam
0 - 1
Beerschot VA
BEE
61%
21%
19%
69 58 11 0

Matches

Ajax
Ajax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Aug. 2022
AJA
Ajax
6 - 1
Groningen
GRO
78%
14%
8%
88 70 18 0
06 Aug. 2022
FOR
Fortuna Sittard
2 - 3
Ajax
AJA
11%
18%
71%
88 66 22 0
31 Jul. 2022
ALM
Almere City
1 - 1
Ajax
AJA
4%
14%
82%
88 58 30 0
30 Jul. 2022
AJA
Ajax
3 - 5
PSV
PSV
45%
22%
32%
88 88 0 0
26 Jul. 2022
AJA
Ajax
3 - 1
Shakhtar Donetsk
SHA
65%
19%
16%
88 84 4 0
X