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Czech First Division. Matchday 31

Sparta Praha Baník Ostrava
65 ELO 53
36% Tilt 45%
351º General ELO ranking 798º
Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
61.9%
Sparta Praha
18%
Draw
20.1%
Baník Ostrava

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
Sparta Praha
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
18%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18%
20.1%
Win probability
Baník Ostrava
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sparta Praha
+46%
+18%
Baník Ostrava

Basic stats

51
49
POS
21
3
SOT
4
2
COR
3
1
GF
1
3
GC
27
13
FRK
65
53
ELO
2.6
1.4
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
FRK
Fouls received
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Sparta Praha
Their league position
Baník Ostrava
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
74
49
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Slavia Praha
86
86
100%
Sparta Praha
74
74
100%
Jablonec
69
69
100%
Slovácko
63
63
100%
Viktoria Plzeň
58
58
100%
Slovan Liberec
52
52
50%
Pardubice
52
52
50%
Baník Ostrava
49
49
100%
Sigma Olomouc
45
45
100%
Bohemians 1905
10º
43
43
10º
100%
Mladá Boleslav
11º
39
39
12º
50%
Karviná
12º
39
39
11º
50%
České Budějovice
13º
38
38
13º
100%
Zlin
14º
32
32
14º
100%
Teplice
15º
30
30
15º
100%
Zbrojovka Brno
16º
26
26
16º
100%
Pribram
17º
25
25
17º
100%
SFC Opava
18º
17
17
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Sparta Praha
Baník Ostrava
Champion
0% 0%
UCL qualifying
100% 0%
Europa League qualifying
0% 0%
Europa Conference League
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Baník Ostrava
BAN
Sparta Praha
SPA
Zlin
ZLI
Mladá Boleslav
MBO
Bohemians 1905
BOH
Viktoria Plzeň
VKP
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sparta Praha
Sparta Praha
1%
X%
2%
ELO SPA ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 May. 2021
SPA
Sparta Praha
0 - 3
Slavia Praha
SLP
39%
28%
33%
1639 2034 -395 -7
02 May. 2021
SLI
Slovan Liberec
2 - 2
Sparta Praha
SPA
44%
27%
29%
1638 1454 -184 0
25 Apr. 2021
SPA
Sparta Praha
4 - 2
SFC Opava
OPA
72%
17%
11%
1634 770 864 +4
21 Apr. 2021
PAR
Pardubice
2 - 2
Sparta Praha
SPA
31%
27%
42%
1637 1009 -628 -2
18 Apr. 2021
SPA
Sparta Praha
1 - 0
Slovácko
SLO
53%
24%
23%
1632 1353 279 +4

Matches

Baník Ostrava
Baník Ostrava
1%
X%
2%
ELO BAN ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 May. 2021
BAN
Baník Ostrava
1 - 1
Zbrojovka Brno
ZBR
51%
26%
23%
1091 912 179 -1
24 Apr. 2021
SIG
Sigma Olomouc
0 - 2
Baník Ostrava
BAN
47%
27%
26%
1081 1120 39 +10
20 Apr. 2021
BAN
Baník Ostrava
2 - 1
Mladá Boleslav
MBO
46%
27%
28%
1075 1182 -107 +6
16 Apr. 2021
BOH
Bohemians 1905
1 - 1
Baník Ostrava
BAN
52%
25%
22%
1074 1248 174 +1
10 Apr. 2021
BAN
Baník Ostrava
3 - 0
SFC Opava
OPA
56%
25%
20%
1066 789 277 +8