Non League Div One Northern Midlands. Jor. 21

Spalding United vs Stamford analysis

Spalding United Stamford
37 ELO 41
-11.8% Tilt -18.2%
4831º General ELO ranking 4451º
210º Country ELO ranking 178º
ELO win probability
28.8%
Spalding United
25.5%
Draw
45.8%
Stamford

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.8%
Win probability
Spalding United
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
45.8%
Win probability
Stamford
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Spalding United
+43%
+15%
Stamford

Points and table prediction

Spalding United
Their league position
Stamford
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
75
86
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Stamford
86
87
100%
Halesowen Town
77
78
100%
Spalding United
75
75
100%
Sporting Khalsa
67
70
100%
Chasetown
65
68
34.5%
Coleshill Town FC
66
67
14.5%
Harborough Town
64
67
38%
Boldmere St. Michaels
64
65
17%
Corby Town
64
65
41.5%
Shepshed
10º
51
52
10º
30.5%
Loughborough Dynamo FC
11º
49
52
11º
30.5%
Sutton Coldfield Town
12º
47
48
12º
100%
Cambridge City
13º
44
44
13º
71%
Hinckley LR
14º
41
42
14º
34%
Bedworth United
15º
39
42
15º
31.5%
Gresley
16º
38
41
16º
46.5%
Dereham Town
17º
35
35
17º
100%
St. Neots Town
18º
32
32
18º
100%
Daventry Town
19º
24
24
19º
100%
Yaxley FC
20º
6
6
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Spalding United
Stamford
Promotion
0% 100%
Promotion play-offs
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Spalding United
Stamford
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Spalding United
Spalding United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Dec. 2022
SUT
Sutton Coldfield Town
0 - 1
Spalding United
SPA
23%
24%
53%
36 23 13 0
26 Nov. 2022
GRE
Gresley
0 - 2
Spalding United
SPA
24%
24%
52%
35 23 12 +1
19 Nov. 2022
SPA
Spalding United
2 - 0
Sporting Khalsa
SPO
53%
21%
26%
35 30 5 0
12 Nov. 2022
SPA
Spalding United
2 - 2
Boldmere St. Michaels
BOL
50%
23%
27%
35 32 3 0
08 Nov. 2022
SPA
Spalding United
3 - 2
Chasetown
CHA
48%
24%
28%
34 31 3 +1

Matches

Stamford
Stamford
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Dec. 2022
COL
Coleshill Town FC
3 - 1
Stamford
STA
20%
23%
57%
43 30 13 0
26 Nov. 2022
YAX
Yaxley FC
0 - 6
Stamford
STA
7%
14%
79%
43 9 34 0
19 Nov. 2022
STA
Stamford
2 - 1
Halesowen Town
HAL
66%
19%
15%
42 34 8 +1
12 Nov. 2022
STN
St. Neots Town
1 - 3
Stamford
STA
11%
17%
71%
42 20 22 0
05 Nov. 2022
STA
Stamford
3 - 1
Cambridge City
CAM
86%
10%
4%
42 21 21 0
X