SPAL vs Pro Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
22.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1955 |
JUV
2 - 2
SPA
83%
11%
6%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1955 |
SPA
2 - 5
ROM
41%
26%
33%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1955 |
ACM
6 - 0
SPA
86%
10%
5%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 1955 |
SPA
1 - 0
TRI
46%
25%
30%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1955 |
LAZ
0 - 0
SPA
67%
20%
14%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1955 |
PRO
2 - 2
FIO
35%
25%
40%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1955 |
PRO
1 - 1
ACM
17%
21%
63%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 1955 |
BOL
5 - 0
PRO
69%
18%
13%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 1955 |
PRO
2 - 1
CAT
48%
25%
26%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1955 |
NAP
2 - 1
PRO
68%
19%
13%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |