SPAL vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
23.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1954 |
JUV
3 - 1
SPA
83%
11%
6%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1954 |
ATL
0 - 1
SPA
59%
22%
20%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
SPA
2 - 3
TOR
46%
24%
30%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
BOL
2 - 1
SPA
61%
21%
18%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1954 |
SPA
2 - 1
UDI
57%
23%
21%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1954 |
LAZ
1 - 2
ROM
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1954 |
FIO
0 - 1
LAZ
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
LAZ
0 - 1
UDI
64%
20%
16%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
PAL
2 - 0
LAZ
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1954 |
LAZ
0 - 1
TOR
54%
22%
24%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |