SPAL vs Hellas Verona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
33.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
SPA
1 - 2
USC
50%
25%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
SPA
6 - 0
PON
82%
13%
5%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2021 |
SPA
1 - 0
USC
47%
27%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
REG
1 - 2
SPA
24%
28%
49%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2021 |
SPA
0 - 1
FRO
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2021 |
VER
3 - 2
MOD
83%
12%
5%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
VER
0 - 0
VIR
88%
9%
3%
|
77 | 47 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
NAP
1 - 1
VER
79%
14%
7%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2021 |
VER
2 - 2
BOL
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2021 |
CRO
2 - 1
VER
32%
27%
41%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |