SPAL vs Feralpisalò analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
6.3%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2019 |
CES
2 - 3
SPA
26%
24%
50%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
SPA
0 - 0
VER
53%
24%
24%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2019 |
SPA
3 - 1
FCO
93%
7%
1%
|
73 | 8 | 65 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2019 |
SPA
5 - 0
VIR
91%
8%
1%
|
73 | 21 | 52 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
SPA
4 - 1
FER
80%
14%
6%
|
73 | 47 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Feralpisalò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
POR
1 - 2
FER
66%
20%
15%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2019 |
FER
2 - 0
CIL
78%
14%
8%
|
47 | 7 | 40 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
SDA
0 - 1
FER
19%
22%
58%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
SPA
4 - 1
FER
80%
14%
6%
|
47 | 73 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
CAG
1 - 1
FER
83%
12%
4%
|
47 | 75 | 28 | 0 |