Serie B . Jor. 3

SPAL vs Cagliari analysis

SPAL Cagliari
67 ELO 74
12.1% Tilt -10.9%
2032º General ELO ranking 365º
53º Country ELO ranking 21º
ELO win probability
38.1%
SPAL
27.1%
Draw
34.8%
Cagliari

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
SPAL
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
34.8%
Win probability
Cagliari
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
SPAL
-30%
+4%
Cagliari

Points and table prediction

SPAL
Their league position
Cagliari
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
20º
18º
60
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Frosinone
80
80
100%
Genoa
71
72
100%
SSC Bari
66
66
100%
Parma
60
61
100%
Cagliari
60
60
100%
FC Südtirol
58
58
100%
Reggina
48
53
100%
Venezia
49
49
0%
Palermo FC
49
49
0%
Ascoli
11º
48
48
10º
100%
Modena
10º
48
48
11º
100%
Pisa SC
12º
47
47
12º
0%
Como
13º
47
47
13º
0%
Cittadella
15º
43
43
14º
0%
Ternana Calcio
14º
43
43
15º
0%
Brescia
16º
40
40
16º
0%
Cosenza
17º
40
40
17º
0%
SPAL
18º
38
38
18º
100%
Perugia
19º
37
37
19º
100%
Benevento
20º
36
36
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
SPAL
Cagliari
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

SPAL
Cagliari
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

SPAL
SPAL
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Aug. 2022
ASC
Ascoli
1 - 1
SPAL
SPA
50%
27%
23%
67 71 4 0
14 Aug. 2022
SPA
SPAL
1 - 3
Reggina
REG
61%
23%
16%
68 62 6 -1
06 Aug. 2022
EMP
Empoli
1 - 2
SPAL
SPA
74%
16%
10%
67 78 11 +1
30 Jul. 2022
SPA
SPAL
1 - 0
Pontedera
PON
88%
9%
3%
67 43 24 0
24 Jul. 2022
USC
Cremonese
2 - 0
SPAL
SPA
63%
21%
17%
67 74 7 0

Matches

Cagliari
Cagliari
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Aug. 2022
CAG
Cagliari
2 - 1
Cittadella
CTT
51%
26%
23%
73 73 0 0
13 Aug. 2022
COM
Como
1 - 1
Cagliari
CAG
21%
27%
52%
73 59 14 0
05 Aug. 2022
CAG
Cagliari
3 - 2
Perugia
PRG
55%
23%
22%
73 70 3 0
31 Jul. 2022
LEE
Leeds United
6 - 2
Cagliari
CAG
64%
21%
15%
73 82 9 0
27 Jul. 2022
STR
Strasbourg
1 - 2
Cagliari
CAG
64%
21%
15%
73 80 7 0
X