SPAL vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.5%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
32%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2008 |
SAN
1 - 2
SPA
36%
27%
37%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
SPA
0 - 2
CUO
63%
23%
14%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
ROV
0 - 1
SPA
33%
25%
42%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
SPA
2 - 2
ACS
73%
18%
9%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
GIU
0 - 0
SPA
23%
26%
50%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
VIC
3 - 0
ASS
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
ASS
1 - 1
FCC
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
ASS
3 - 0
PRO
50%
27%
24%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
USF
1 - 0
ASS
57%
25%
18%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
ASS
3 - 1
CTT
34%
29%
37%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |