Spaeri vs Gareji analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
44%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
4º
9º
5º
22
2º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
29 | 64 |
1º
|
38% | |
|
|
5º
|
22 | 60 |
2º
|
21.5% | |
|
1º
|
30 | 59 |
3º
|
20.5% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 59 |
4º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
24 | 58 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 47 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 42 |
7º
|
29.5% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 41 |
8º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 36 |
9º
|
40% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 31 |
10º
|
57% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
15% | 17% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
39% | 41% |
|
Mid-table
|
42% | 37.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3.5% | 4.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spaeri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2024 |
LOK
1 - 0
SPA
36%
25%
39%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
KOL
1 - 4
SPA
22%
24%
54%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
SPA
0 - 1
MET
59%
23%
19%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
SIO
5 - 1
SPA
47%
24%
29%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SPA
0 - 0
SFC
59%
22%
20%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Gareji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2024 |
ADU
3 - 5
GAR
32%
25%
44%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
LOK
4 - 1
GAR
23%
23%
54%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
GAR
2 - 1
KOL
76%
16%
9%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
MET
2 - 3
GAR
25%
25%
50%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
GAR
3 - 4
SIO
58%
23%
20%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |