Sp. Villanueva Promesas vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
52.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
16.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.8%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sp. Villanueva Promesas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
POL
1 - 2
SPO
74%
17%
9%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
SPO
1 - 1
PUE
15%
24%
62%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
SRQ
0 - 0
SPO
74%
17%
9%
|
35 | 56 | 21 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
SPO
0 - 0
LOR
26%
26%
49%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
VIL
3 - 1
SPO
73%
17%
10%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
RJA
2 - 2
AGD
46%
29%
25%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
RJA
1 - 1
MAL
10%
22%
69%
|
59 | 85 | 26 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
CFB
0 - 1
RJA
40%
28%
32%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
POL
0 - 0
RJA
40%
28%
32%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
RJA
2 - 0
PUE
42%
29%
28%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |