Quiroga vs FADEP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
28.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quiroga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
SMA
4 - 0
QUI
33%
24%
44%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
QUI
1 - 0
BWN
79%
13%
8%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
FAD
1 - 0
QUI
39%
22%
39%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
QUI
0 - 1
SMA
73%
16%
11%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
BWN
0 - 3
QUI
21%
20%
58%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
FADEP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
BWN
0 - 2
FAD
21%
20%
59%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
FAD
1 - 1
SMA
61%
20%
19%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
FAD
1 - 0
QUI
39%
22%
39%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +2 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
FAD
3 - 1
BWN
72%
15%
12%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
SMA
1 - 0
FAD
34%
24%
42%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |