SP Guardes vs Caselas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
15.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+191%
+576%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SP Guardes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 1
GUA
30%
24%
47%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
GUA
3 - 0
ARC
26%
23%
50%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
UMI
2 - 0
GUA
68%
17%
14%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
GUA
2 - 1
CAS
61%
21%
18%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
GON
1 - 2
GUA
33%
24%
44%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Caselas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2019 |
CAS
3 - 0
CAM
34%
24%
41%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
CUN
3 - 2
CAS
51%
23%
26%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
CAS
0 - 1
SAL
64%
19%
17%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
GUA
2 - 1
CAS
61%
21%
18%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
CAS
3 - 1
GRA
29%
24%
47%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | +1 |