SP Falcons vs Tuv Azarganuud analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.2%
16.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-101%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SP Falcons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
KHC
0 - 1
SPF
17%
17%
66%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SPF
3 - 1
ERC
42%
22%
37%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
BSI
1 - 0
SPF
13%
16%
71%
|
28 | 12 | 16 | -2 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SPF
2 - 0
HFC
85%
11%
5%
|
27 | 6 | 21 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
SPF
0 - 1
ULA
50%
22%
28%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Tuv Azarganuud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
TBF
0 - 21
DER
33%
21%
46%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
KHO
13 - 0
TBF
40%
20%
41%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -2 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
TBF
0 - 7
KHC
81%
11%
8%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ERC
14 - 0
TBF
33%
20%
47%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -3 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
TBF
1 - 3
KHO
74%
14%
12%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | -1 |