Sozopol vs Nesebar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
30%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sozopol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
ROZ
0 - 3
SOZ
21%
25%
54%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
ASE
3 - 1
SOZ
45%
25%
30%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
SOZ
3 - 0
SPA
61%
21%
18%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
LOV
6 - 0
SOZ
89%
9%
3%
|
39 | 78 | 39 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
VER
3 - 1
SOZ
61%
22%
17%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
NES
3 - 0
EVR
72%
18%
11%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
NES
8 - 0
SLI
83%
12%
5%
|
43 | 15 | 28 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
ZAG
1 - 3
NES
15%
22%
63%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
ROZ
2 - 4
NES
16%
22%
62%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
NES
2 - 0
ASE
57%
23%
20%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |